As I have followed the issue for my little writing space set up in my house with a window looking out onto the front yard and my neighborhood, I have been amazed at our speed getting where we are with gay rights. Civil rights, women's issues, nothing has moved at greater speed to resolution, even with a probable year added on.
|Is this your sign?|
I don't have much to support my stance. I am not one to be able to read the statistics and make sense out of them, but I do know that a whole bunch of states have recently passes or upheld laws that deny marriage privileges universally.
For me, a key issue to passing this key issue is that minds are changing as regular folk discover that they are related to, or friends with, a homosexual. Conservative republicans have only, within the last ten years, had to take a public stand for or against gay marriage -- usually against. Before that, the standard was always implied by politicians, inferred by the public)
In the last year gay marriage as a civil right won, and in several states. The whoosh of sweeping public opinion is getting louder and it is happening at a notable pace -- at least a talking point regardless of the side on which we have taken refuge.
The pendulum has nowhere left to swing but towards liberals. Conservatives say no. Most states have said no already. Unless they add really, really no, or a more strong no, republicans don't have much more to say.
In 2008 California's proposition 8 passed in a real cat fight. But with changing public opinion, would it pass if it were voted on today? A lot of the polls indicate that, yes.
And a lot of the changing is going to be coming from Conservative republicans. Liberals wont change their mind in favor of more bans. In order for republicans to make headway with younger generations of voters, there stance will have to soften, or the republican party will handicap itself.
Is Marriage equality/gay marriage as an issue a deal breaker? I believe that it's starting to be. The young will not vote against it, and the old, in order to stay in office will have to follow suit just to survive.
As a people, we are evolving on gay marriage. Sooner or later, it will pass, and I believe it will be sooner. The Supreme Court may blow us out of the water with a ruling that marriage is a constitutional right turning sooner into today. Regardless of what side you are on, it seems clear that gay marriage will have more wins in its column that losses.
What does that mean for the LDS church and it's members -- me included?